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China’s IP finance push reaches new heights but hits patent transaction data stumbling block
Release Time:
2024-12-13
Context: China’s real GDP growth is predicted to decelerate to 4.5% in 2025, from 4.9% in 2024, according to a recent Goldman Sachs report (December 4, 2024 Goldman Sachs article). And that figure could drop as low as 3.4% by 2028 (February 2, 2024 Nikkei Asia article). Despite this, the country has been able to steadily grow its IP-backed financing market, which issued more than 33 billion Chinese yuan (US$4.5 billion) in loans between 2018 and 2023.
What’s new: Recent data published by the China National Intellectual Property Administration (CNIPA) revealed that in the first three quarters of 2024, the country’s IP financing market reached 792.23 billion yuan (US$109 billion), meaning it has already seen a 24% year-on-year increase. Those figures are projected to go up to 1 trillion Chinese yuan (US$137 billion) by year-end, according to Ma Bin, deputy chief of the IP operation and management division under China’s top IP regulator (November 28, 2024 China Economic Net article).
Direct impact and wider ramifications: While this is great news for IP owners in China, Mr. Bin noted in a speech last month that data collection for a valuation model that it has created alongside the Construction Bank of China (CBC) remains a key challenge. “Traditionally, such transactions are considered ‘commercial secrets’, so many are unwilling to disclose them,” he said. So while the country continues to push for a bigger IP financing market, there are questions around how sustainable a government-backed IP finance market is, as well as how the government intends to address the issue of valuation.
There is no doubt that the Chinese government’s financial institutions are willing to support companies financially based on their IP. The CNIPA revealed recently that an event in the city of Xiangyang helped companies in the renewable energy industry obtain 96.8 million Chinese yuan (US$13 million) in loans from banks on the back of their IP, for example (December 2, 2024 CNIPA press release).
GEN Law partner Dong Ning, notes that the growth aligns with the annual increase in China’s total social financing scale, which is a direct result of economic expansion and an accommodative monetary policy.
As part of that, Mr Ning says, state-owned banks are being encouraged to provide more loans to these sectors – and IP financing is a favorable option for them.
According to Terry Lu at Lusheng Law Firm, there are a number of milestones that have led to this:
As China’s economy transitions from traditional manufacturing to one that is high-tech and innovation-driven, the value of IP has become increasingly prominent, says Xinming Ma, General Manager of Chinese valuation company Beijing Zhongjinhao Assets Appraisal Co. And for enterprises with a large number of patents, IP financing can be leveraged to obtain the financial support they need to further expand their business. This is also linked, according to Mr. Ma, to the way in which the “core competitiveness of enterprises is often reflected in the patents and technical secrets they hold”. “As market recognition of the value of IP increases, so does demand, prompting more financial institutions to participate in IP financing,” he says.
“Additionally, the application of fintech brings more possibilities for IP financing, such as the use of big data analysis to improve the accuracy of evaluation, and the use of blockchain technology to ensure the security of the transfer of rights,” Mr. Ma adds.
To further grow its IP financing market, Mr. Lu says China needs to do two things:
“More investment in R&D in IP-intensive industries like telecoms and pharmaceuticals so that more high-quality IP can be generated. And cultivate more professionals and third-party institutes to do IP evaluations. Currently, not many organizations have the capability to do patent evaluations professionally and reliably.”
As part of its efforts, the Chinese government and CBC have been compiling data from tens of thousands of patent licensing contracts since 2019 to gain insights into the market prices of licenses across different industries and produce an in-house valuation model. That model should be able to automatically determine the value of a patent without relying on third-party valuation agencies to expedite the financing process and reduce costs for enterprises.
This sort of approach helps build a strong foundation for robust valuation analysis, according to Andre Toh, EY Asean and Asia-Pacific Valuation, Modeling & Economics Leader. “Historical information on licensing contracts and their commercial terms are critical reference points for the valuation of intangibles, especially patents when adopting the market approach to valuation,” he says. And this could help determine comparables, adjusting for the context of each comparable, and establishing what is representative of the future – bearing in mind the base data is historical information rather than forward-looking, he adds.
However, there are four main limitations to the government’s approach, according to Terry Lu at Lusheng Law Firm and Xinming Ma, general manager of Chinese valuation company Beijing Zhongjinhao Assets Appraisal Co:
To help address these limitations, Mr. Toh says valuers should also carry out cross-checks with other approaches such as the income approach in order to triangulate and gain comfort on the valuation opinion. He adds:
“The bottom-up nature of the income approach can introduce more discipline, forward-looking and thoughtfulness to the business plans that will support the value of the patent.”
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